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Diligence told them they’re buying a almost dead payment processor with ancient tech. Customer lists are worth something but not that much.


Curious to hear from someone who watches this space. What makes them dead?

It's still the only consistently supported thing I encounter online.

I'm aware things like Wero are poised to shake things up, but still have no real idea about timeline and impact.


PayPal originally took off as it was convenient and fast, saving you from filling in card details each time and it also allowed sending payments for private transactions using only an email address

Since then Apple Pay/Google pay/browser wallets have taken a big chunk of its fast checkout advantage

And mobile banking apps/instant transfer have taken out chunks of the private transactions, and more so as consumer to consumer transactions often had the parties using PayPal gift mode to avoid fees but that then had zero protection.

The 2020’s is much more crowded than 1990’s and 2020’s decades

Also it was its partnership with eBay that made it dominant and eBay no longer promote PayPal as preferred payment method.


PayPal also allowed internet payments without requiring handing over credit card details to a third party. Handing your credit card number to every two-but e-commerce site pretty much guaranteed your card would be compromised. Today PCI requirements and tokenization reduce the risks substantially and Apple Pay and Google Pay add another layer of protection.


Apparently first mover advantage (with about a decade head start?) still counts for a lot. https://www.chargeflow.io/blog/paypal-statistics-facts#paypa...

That estimates PayPal still has 40%+ online payment market share.

I'm assuming a lot of that is long-tail 'I put a PayPal link on my store in 2005' stuff, but I imagine those add up.

And they're also probably a sticky customer base, in the sense that anyone still using PayPal as primary today doesn't like changing things, which makes acquiring those customers worth it.


The other consistently supported thing is card numbers. I generate virtual card numbers for every merchant, no need for some suspicious interloper. For non-recurring or one-off transactions -- new virtual card for each purchase.


>What makes them dead? It's still the only consistently supported thing I encounter online.

online is dead too, no app uses paypal, and plenty of online merchants take credit cards more than paypal; they even offer their own credit cards.

paypal hasn't innovated at all in over a decade, and people are scared of the way it will hang on to your money with little recourse.


"No app uses PayPal"

You have already lost your plot with that claim. Just because you don't use it doesn't mean it is not widespread.


PayPal is, unfortunately, not dead. It's used by RMV in Germany for a start - only way to pay for a bus ticket in the app/website. No credit or debit card, straight up PayPal account.


> online is dead too, no app uses paypal

PayPal is the payment method I use for Google Pay, so pretty much everything goes through it.

(I don't have a credit card, which is common where I live.)


Are you in Germany by chance?


Yep.


It is funny :-)

Moving to Germany from the US was like entering a timewarp. PayPal is still real??? People use it??

I get it now but it's a pretty big miss that GiroCard couldn't figure out how to displace them after all this time.


Sometimes it's the other way around. Lockers for packages were first introduced in Germany (Packstation) then they were rolled out in the US almost a decade later.

Not having a lot of credit cards and the associated rewards is actually healthy. Research has shown lower social classes "pay" for the rewards due to paying the higher transaction fees. There was actually a relevant thread here a few days ago https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49432201 (How credit card rewards became a $9.2B wealth transfer)


:-)

Well, I used to live and work in South Korea for many years, so both DE and the US are about equally oldschool in my book :)


Maybe we’re doing different things or in different regions, but I rarely see pay with PayPal now.


I see it absolutely everywhere still. We all exist in our own bubbles.


Yes it's basically every website in Australia you can pay via PayPal now. I use it less and less since Apple Pay is available pretty much everywhere, but it can still be handy now and then.


Popular in South Africa also and remains one of the very few credit card processors where you can bill in USD and remit in ZAR (no Stripe in SA)


I see it all the time in Europe. Many German online shops have Paypal as the default payment method and may even process card payments through Paypal.

Also, it's often the way people transfer money between each other.


Still see it sometimes in the UK, but if it's there often there's an extra fee to use paypal instead of card, so I doubt many people use it.

Card number is standard, with an increasing amount of places supporting Apple Pay (thankfully)


Luckily I haven't for years now. But might indeed be different regions.


Can folks responding to this comment claiming that they see PayPal a lot provide some details? Country, industry, sector, something. I'm in the US and I basically never see it on e commerce checkout flows any more (and good riddance IMO).


I'm in the UK and I use it a few times a month.

Generally I would use it on smaller / unfamiliar websites; I may be more hesitant about entering my credit card numbers but also it's quicker and easier as I can do it without getting my card out of my bag.

I also use it exclusively for eBay purchases.


Agreed but only if I can't use Apple/Google card. So my usage is way down.


I run an online store selling e-stuff. I offer Stripe by default, and a 'use PayPal' link on the side.

It accounts for about 20% of my sales. I was about to write 'overwhelmingly Europeans' and I thought I better check. Nope.

    Row Labels      Count of Country
    ----------      ----------------
    United States   54
    Germany         12
    Australia       10
    United Kingdom  7
    Netherlands     7


I don't see it as much as before but recently I had issues with paying z.ai with my card and the only payment alternative they have is PayPal. PayPal now requires an account with a verified phone number just to process your payment, so it's strictly a no-go for me.

I am guessing the millions of people they have on-boarded in the last decades are what makes the business worth something.


It is still common on small e-commerce sites. The ones at high risk of being hacked where you don't want them to have your card details.


Yeah this is my primary use case for using PayPal. I use it on e-commerce sites for first purchase or if it's unlikely I'm going to buy anything from the same site again.


In European online shopping it's very common for everything thats not ment for only one country.

Within Switzerland there is zero need for PayPal do you don't see it as much, but if you ship to Germany or Italy things start to get more complicated.


I honestly wish they could've succeeded because PayPal is one of the banes of my existence. They're one of those faceless corporations that accuse everyone of money laundering in order to steal their shit.


They held and stole quite a bit of money from my company when it was small 'for fraud'; it was a very hard time, and of course there was no fraud. It was a long time ago and I don't get angry anymore, but it was a nightmare and nothing you can do. Since then I moved to local processing, issuing, acquiring; I can thank Paypal for all of that. Hope they die a miserable death, but I guess 50B$ says at least the managers will drive their lambo's/yachts around no matter what happens unfortunately.


Paypal stole over $10k from a Haitian charity drive we did. They froze the account and all the donations, then refused to refund people and offered "Donate to our charity instead" as an option.

It was bonkers.


You were collecting money for charity, and you're upset that PayPal... offered to donate the money to charity? Was it mixed with other funds?


"Donate to a different charity" is in no way a viable alternative.

Charities are anything but interchangeable. You might not want to sponsor one on ideological grounds, or concerns about how effectively they use the money, or just because you were seeking to support a specific cause. If you deposited money in a box that said "we're buying medicine for sick people in Somaliland" and they sent it to the RSPCA instead, wouldn't you be pissed?


Was it definitely a different charity though? I couldn't tell, hoped for clarification.


Of course you can do something. You can sue PayPal.


Suing over borders. Did I mention small company? What would it cost me, in 2007, to sue a US company from my country in europe? With what chance of winning?


I am not sure about the year 2007, but in 2026, they need to be under your monetary authority somehow. That's why most crypto exchanges do not offer service in Europe. Your monetary authority might have a form or an email for complaint and depending on how pro-active they are, they can make the other counter-party very proactive.


You sue the European subsidiary which will be a regulated bank, unlike US PayPal.


and how much would that cost vs the chance of it working?


It would be small claims court and they are being sued so much, that they don't even bother to show up in trials (courts are expensive goes both ways), so it is default win usually.


Especially after they already stole all your money.


They're actually a European company, or else they can't operate there. The European company is probably a subsidiary of an American one.


Still not in my own country; I see they were in the UK back then; suing over borders inside the EU is still expensive and pretty much advised against unless it's a lot of money. It was for us, but not compared to this effort; anyway ; it was advised against back then. Maybe now it's easier.


Most of the banks around the world are still running on old tech. Not so long ago I remember one was still using Cobol.


Elon bought a dead social network and look at him go! But seriously, I log into paypal once a month to pay my landlord. I am a MAU. That is crazy. It’s more then I can say for ABNB. Maybe they should buy Paypal. Save on those transaction fees.


I wish Twitter had been dead when Elon bought it, but no, Twitter was far from dead. X actually has fewer MAU as far as I can tell[1], and I wouldn’t call it dead either.

[1]: Seriously though, I can’t find good data I trust on this so correct me if you’ve got a good source saying otherwise, or even if someone has something substantiating this better I would take that too.


The social network is more dead than when he bought it. Wouldn’t need the an acquisition first by an ai company and then a space company to hide its worth.


Why can't you pay the landlord by standing order?


PayPal is still the default processor in so many places. That's got to be worth something. Every other time I buy something online, PayPal is the default option.


What country are you living in?


I see it everywhere in the US.


At least the open alternatives can be fuzzed, intel minix and intel ME are other examples of NSA exploitware



They’re just wildly successful terrible engineers who can describe problems well and have unlimited token budgets. If they were paying for their own token use, the software would be better, they simply don’t have financial incentive to be more performant.

A dirty secret of AI data centers are that they’re only getting 40-60% efficiency out of their GPU clusters and because the moneygun go brrrrr they just buy more.

You wonder why they’re so afraid of the Chinese competition… they can’t afford to be as wasteful


Describing problems well may be one of the most important skills an engineer can have.


Can we normalize a healthy 4th amendment posture? It’s wild that the Peter Thiel “don’t tread on me” folks are so cool with a China like police state.


It's because their actual motto is "Don't tread on me, tread on them"


A lot of the "don't tread on me" is window dressing.

Peter Thiel and his ilk absolutely adore what China has done. You have an elite - in this case, the CCP - that is entitled to their position by law. It bills itself as the "best and brightest" of society and has ideological constraints that it gets to impose on its members through the cadre system. The rest of the population labors for the benefit of this elite with little-to-no input on the operation of the ruling class.

That's what Thiel wants, just with his kind in the positions of power. It'd eliminate any opposition to what they imagine as the "right" way of doing things and reduce the friction to the creation of economic value for their holdings.

Note that "friction" in this case means things like human rights, democracy, competition, workers rights, etc.


It's not "don't tread on us"


It's almost like the American Libertarian to fascist pipeline is a real thing.


I’m considering moving my family to China to be proximate and to witness the next rise of a superpower. I was too young for the 80’s US computer boom, and in collage for the .com one. The Web 2.0 rise only produced a small handful of winners. China seems boundless.


Are you Chinese, or do you just think it’s an easy thing to change worlds?


Isn't everyone's dream to move their family to the perceived next superpower /s


May you live in interesting times and gain the attention of powerful people


there's some thing between supa-power and sign-language I guess


Make sure to report back and let us know how you get on.


Mainland or HK?


Elon’s invisible hand strikes again.


The company was acquired days ago. You think this was implemented since then?


That company has always been garbage.


Or you have data that HIPAA, GDPR, PII, or have to care about the concern of others training on your data.


That too.


Cool beans boomer alarmist stance. The Chinese models here are doing what they’re supposed to price the market accordingly.


So you’re telling me these cells operate independently like distributed Ethereum nodes and L2s… got it.


Ethereum nodes are not independent, they are as interdependent as it's possible to be.


It's becoming a reliable heuristic that when somebody says "... got it", they probably didn't get it.


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